Current analysis
2026 Season2026 Alabama Flag Football Season Hub
Start here for what the statewide ratings show so far, how often they update, the early-season caveats, and links to the latest data stories.
Tools and data
Alabama Rankings
Statewide power ratings for every AHSAA varsity girls flag football team, with division filters, strength of schedule, and matchup probabilities.
View rankings →How Playoff Simulation Works
A modeling explainer: turning a rating gap into a win probability, what 10,000 Monte Carlo runs actually buy you, and why brackets punish favorites. Worked on the real 2025 final, with a simulator you can run.
Read the explainer →Articles
Central’s 62-Game Streak, Measured
Twenty shutouts in the twenty-five streak games we hold, a median margin of 39, and not one of them inside nine points. Plus the 59-game in-state run that is still going.
Model NotesThe September 9 Model Snapshot
One archived snapshot read three ways: who rated highest, who had actually been tested, and where the model was most wrong. With a September 17 follow-up.
Original DataWhat a 2025 Flag Football Score Looked Like
Original full-season score distribution, shutout, margin, and lattice analysis.
Rules & StrategyNo More 7A: Alabama’s New Classification
How the 2026 alignment changes the flag football playoff map.
Rules & StrategyNFHS Retention Rule Explained
What the new keep-the-ball option changes late in games.
Behind the NumbersHow Our Alabama Rankings Work
Plain-English methodology for ratings, Elo, capped margins, and uncertainty.
Game PreparationReading Defensive Tendencies
How to chart coverage patterns without overfitting one game.
StrategyGo for 1 or 2?
Break-even conversion math and score-state examples for after-touchdown decisions.
StrategyLet Them Score?
The narrow late-game window where conceding can make sense.